2009-12-04

The San Antonio Spurs took advantage of an easy portion in their schedule to get on track after a poor start to the season. Things are about to get much tougher. The Spurs host the Boston Celtics on Thursday as both teams go for their sixth straight win. San Antonio is a shaky 1.5-point favorite, shaky in that nearly 80% of bettors like the Celtics against the spread, according to the Sportsbook.com Betting Trends page.

San Antonio (9-6, 8-7 ATS) lost six of its first 10 games to post the worst start in the Tim Duncan era. An ankle injury caused Duncan to miss two victories during that stretch, but he’s been a key factor during the current five-game winning streak, averaging 20.6 points and 9.8 rebounds. He’s led the team in scoring in three of the wins, including a 97-89 victory over Philadelphia on Sunday.

The Spurs held the 76ers to 39.3 percent shooting and gave up fewer than 90 points for the third time during the win streak. They are yielding an average of 91.8 points in the last five games - seven fewer than the first 10 games.

“We really shouldn’t care that much about winning five in a row,” said Manu Ginobili, who returned Sunday after missing five games with a strained groin and finished with eight points and three turnovers in 17 minutes.

“It’s always good. It helps your confidence, and of course your standings, but we still believe we’ve got a long way to go.” Ginobilli and the Spurs are 22-11 ATS after a non-conference game over the last two seasons.
Ginobili and the Spurs may be hesitant to make too much of the winning streak given the quality of the opponents. Three of the teams they defeated have losing records and the other two—Houston and Milwaukee—have spent much of the season hovering around .500.
San Antonio’s upcoming schedule should provide a bigger test, with home games against division leaders Boston and Denver before Monday’s visit to Utah, which has won six of seven. However, not all the Spurs see the upcoming game against the Celtics (14-4, 8-10 ATS) as a measuring stick.

“Right now, neither team is going to be as sharp as they’d like,” Richard Jefferson said. “I think both teams are going to be a lot better later in the season. … We’re standing firm with (coach Greg Popovich) that we’re learning, we’re all trying to get better from day to day.”
The Spurs haven’t won six in a row since Dec. 4-14, 2008 and are 3-12 ATS in home games after three or more consecutive wins over the last two years.

Boston brings its own five-game winning streak into San Antonio as it continues a four-game road trip. The Celtics beat Charlotte 108-90 on Tuesday behind Ray Allen’s best performance of the season. Allen came in averaging 15.2 points but finished with 27—he scored more than 20 in only one other game all season—and hit five of his six 3-point attempts. He had been 7 for 27 from beyond the arc in the previous six games.

Allen regaining his shooting touch adds another weapon to an offense averaging 107.2 points and shooting 51.6 percent over the winning streak. Paul Pierce averaged 26.0 points in the first three games of it, although he’s been held to a combined 23 in the last two. He was 3 of 8 from the field Tuesday to finish with a season-low eight points. Boston arrives in San Antonio and is 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a home winning percentage of .600 or higher.

Sportsbook.com has the Spurs as 1.5-point favorites with a total of 186.5. Coach Popovich’s club is only 8-20 ATS when playing against a top-level team with a win percentage of .700 or better the last three seasons, however is 11-2 ATS if they managed to score more than 100 points in previous outing. Since 2007, Boston is 28-13 ATS as an underdog.

San Antonio is 9-3 and 6-5-1 ATS in last dozen Celtics’ visits, however they have failed to win or cover last three at AT&T Center.
This is the Thursday night NBA opener on TNT, with the Spurs 18-6 UNDER in home games when playing four or less games in 10 days over the last three seasons and Boston is 13-3 UNDER in non-conference road games since last year. The action begins at 8 Eastern.
The StatFox Power Line shows San Antonio by 2